Global Stress Point Matrix™

Global Stress Points Graph

The Global Stress Point Matrix™ (GSPM) is an Early Warning system monitoring potential high impact / low probability events - political, economic, natural, security-related and/or directly related to your organisation.

The core of the GSPM is a unique, flexible methodology which systematises tracking the likelihood of these events taking place and measuring their potential impact.

As a subscription service, the GSPM comprises over 20 Global Stress Points, representing the issues most critical to global stability for business and government. Our Consulting Practice applies the GSPM framework in Customised Stress Points to help clients assess and monitor the potential events most critical to their organisations.

Benefits

  • Methodology enables users to assess potential threats
  • Designed for busy people, it uses a graphical user interface to stimulate fast absorption of complex data
  • Rigorous monitoring on a daily basis tracks changes in the likelihood of risks becoming threats, permitting the early identification of trends
  • Transparency - understand the logic behind our experts’ assessments via links to authoritative and detailed analysis
  • Provides an international perspective by using our global network of experts
  • Monitors events rather than countries, encouraging cross-border or regional analysis.
  • By avoiding the common currency of generically available intelligence, the GSPM’s unique methodology and analysis can help clients create competitive advantage.
  • Provides a cost-effective method of limiting clients’ downside to unforeseen risks.

Features

  • Web-based access to over 20 Global Stress Points (currently 23), each of which has:
    • Overview
    • Stress Balance - relative pressures towards and away from the event
    • Stress Intensity - strength of pressures towards the event
    • Impact Statements - measuring the consequences if the event were to happen
    • History Overview - Stress Balance changes over time
    • History Log - most recent movements with analysis
  • Email alerting:
    • Daily detail of index movement and linked analysis
    • Weekly summaries of major movements
  • Optional: quarterly report analysing movements over the preceding quarter and identifying events which might impact the Stress Point over the next two quarters.

Current Core List

  1. INTERNATIONAL: Dollar collapse
  2. SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Internet collapse
  3. CHINA/TAIWAN: Armed hostilities
  4. INTERNATIONAL: Israeli attack on Iran
  5. SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Human flu pandemic
  6. INTERNATIONAL: Oil price shock
  7. MEXICO: State hollowing
  8. INTERNATIONAL: Return to protectionism
  9. LATIN AMERICA: Disruption to hydrocarbons sector
  10. IRAQ: Collapse of state institutions
  11. RUSSIA: Cross-border military aggression
  12. EUROPE: Major country leaves the Euro
  13. NIGERIA: Unrest curtails onshore oil production
  14. INDIA/PAKISTAN: Armed hostilities
  15. PAKISTAN: State collapse
  16. SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Increasing climate regulation
  17. ARGENTINA: New sovereign debt default
  18. NORTH KOREA: Military conflict
  19. HORN OF AFRICA: Return to 'hot' wars
  20. LEBANON: Civil war
  21. INTERNATIONAL:Risk of jihadist attack on scale of 9/11
  22. CENTRAL ASIA: Risk of major disorder
  23. BALKANS: Return to serious disruption